The Long tail and me
Good article by Nicolas Kristof in the New York Times (hat tip to Alan Wolk). He says that, with the unlimited choice made available by the internet, people naturally gravitate towards ideas and behaviour that reinforces existingly held beliefs. People claim that they prefer open and challenging debate, but when choosing to seek out debate and information they go to those spaces/ideas that mirror their current thinking.
This set me off thinking about The Long Tail. In the book of the same name, Chris Anderson argues that the infite space and advanced filtering (search, user recommendations, dynamic recommendation engines etc) that the internet brings is allowing people to connect and explore niches and break the monopoly of a corporation-determined hit machine.
What Anderson argues is that The Long Tail allows us to easily find and indulge in those things that really interest us, in all the myriad ways that human beings are interested in different things.
If Kristof is right in his view on human behaviour, and The Long Tail reaches the logical conclusion of Anderson’s argument, then we’re in for some very different times. People will be able to completely satisfy their own diverse interests and will then be engaged in a positive feedback loop where their interests are mutually reinforced. If people move away from “real” life then they will miss interaction with views and opinions that contradict their own.
What will we see? Increased cultural and social fragmentation with universal social mores and cultural norms finding it increasingly difficult to take hold.
So what’s the implication for charity marketing?
Well, I think charities (over the next 10 to 20 years) will find it increasingly difficult to build a national “hit”. But, smaller charities and niche interests will find that their support grows as people find it easier to filter and discover those causes that resonate.
But if it’s easier to find a cause, it’ll be easier to find another one that better meets your interests. Charities, bigger ones especially, must start being more and more tailored to people’s interests. They have to stretch themselves down the long tail to survive in the fragmenting world. If they don’t, they’ll be beaten by small charities or those charities that do react to the changing landscape.
The good news is that the technology is there to allow this. The bad news is that this will require internal investment from charities in that technology and in content creation. Those that do invest will reap the rewards.
